Gerard Baker, writing in the Times (London) today says, “US economic activity is collapsing so fast that it is hard to keep up with just how bad things are. The various monthly data releases are ancient history by the time they are published, even the most up-to-date ones.”

The loss of half a million jobs in November was particularly calamitous. Nothing like it has been seen for 30 years or more.

The upcoming President, Barack Obama, promised last weekend to create 2.5 million jobs by a massive fiscal stimulus. This has to be set against the Bush stimulus last year which broadly had little effect. People simply tucked the money away, or paid off debt.

Obama wants to spend on roads and transport. He also wants money to go to green and information technology-based infrastructure.

Meanwhile the Fed has been using so-called “quantitative easing” in the wake of its dramatic cuts in interest rates. That means printing money and buying assets of all kinds. So far, nothing seems to be working.

Finally, when there are no more cliffs to fall off, we may see some “green shoots” of recovery.

Hold your breath if you dare.

It’s a phrase we hear all the time, Sub-Prime, usually associated with the worldwide credit crunch now current across the mortgage market. But where did it come from?

Some historians think it can be traced back to the Old West and the vast cattle markets of of Chicago and Nebraska. Traders labeled the finest cuts of meat as “prime” and the lesser cuts “choice” — something of a euphemism, obviously.

However, “choice” was usually translated in buyers’ minds as “sub-prime”, that is, something no-one really wanted.

Then “prime” was adopted by American bankers to describe rates charged to their most creditworthy customers. All others became “sub-prime”.

British banks apparently have more fruity terms. What in the States is called “sub-prime” is in England labeled a “lemon”.

There are a lot of lemons around just now.

The Mortgage Bankers Association is reporting that more homeowners are falling delinquent on their mortgage payments. According to their report, 4.7% of loan payments were more than 30 day past due and 11% of mortgages were in foreclosure.

The trend is being blamed on high-risk loans with subprime rates and adjustable rate mortgages that are being affected by rising interest rates over the past few years.

More Americans Making Late Mortgage Payments

In a statement released today that can be accessed at the Federal Reserve Board Website it was announced that the Feds are going to keep interest rates at 5.25%.

The Federal Open Market Committee decided today to keep its target for the federal funds rate at 5-1/4 percent.

Economic growth has slowed over the course of the year, partly reflecting a cooling of the housing market. Going forward, the economy seems likely to expand at a moderate pace.

The FOMC monetary policy faced only one dissenting vote. Voting against was Jeffrey M. Lacker, who preferred an increase of 25 basis points in the federal funds rate target at this meeting.