A version of this article appeared in Syntagma recently.

Gold rushes come and go in the world’s innovation capital, California. But when they go … they really go.

The City of Vallejo in California has filed for Chapter 9 bankruptcy, making history it seems. Half Moon Bay, home to some internet digerati, may well be next. According to John Moorlach, Orange County board chief, “This is the tip of the iceberg: everybody is going to line up for Chapter 9 in California.”

What can it mean to people on the ground when their city goes belly up? What of their assets, houses etcetera? It will be interesting to watch this pan out.

According to Goldman Sachs and Lehman Brothers American house prices are likely to fall 25pc from peak to trough. With between 10m and 12m households in negative equity already, there’s still a way to go.

Shares across the developed world are set for big falls too. Albert Edward Société Générale’s global strategist says, “Nowhere and nothing will be immune. We are on the cusp of an equity meltdown that will slash and shred portfolios. We see a global recession unfolding. Liquidity will drain away and crush the twin emerging market and commodity bubbles. The recent hope that ‘the worst might be over’ is truly staggering. Profits are disintegrating.”

Ambrose Evans Pritchard of the Telegraph (UK) — ever the Cassandra — says pointedly, “Britain, Europe, Japan, and China will go down before America comes back up. This is turning into a synchronised bust, after all. The Global Slump of 2008-09 is under way.”

The Bank of England and the European Central Bank are still stubbornly refusing to cut rates because of inflation fears, which will be the least of our miseries in the next two years and should abate soon as global demand falls off the much-imagined cliff.

It’s probably true that Ben Bernanke’s Federal Reserve has saved the U.S. and other countries from another Great Depression. But nothing can stop a slump now because it’s already happening.

JP Morgan, America’s third biggest bank, has been hit again by the subprime crisis.

This time the hit is more than $4.6 billion (£2.6bn), taking its credit crunch losses to around $15 billion since August — an unparalleled rate of attrition.

Meanwhile, the bank’s profits tumbled by 51pc to $2.5 billion in Q1, eased slightly by a winning bet on the flotation of card giant, Visa.

Since the Fed is backing JP’s rescue of Bear with $30 billion, this will send a shudder down the spine of Ben Bernanke, the Federal Reserve’s Chairman.

Signs that the crunch is biting even deeper are coming across the board. House building in the U.S. is now at its lowest level for 17 years. JP Morgan suffered a 20pc reversal in its credit card division, while its retail banking arm slipped by over a billion dollars.

JP’s chief, Jamie Dimon, said, “The Economic environment will continue to be weak and the capital markets will remain under stress.”

With Britain beginning to feel the strain, along with some European economies, it’s now clear that the worst is still to come.

A version of this article has appeared in Moneyizor — Money, The Big Picture

Syntagma Media is now relaunching Moneyizor.com as a tracker of the hottest topic of the moment in U.S financial circles : macroeconomics. Think “credit crunch”, “global financial meltdown”, “economy falling off a cliff”, “new Great Depression”, and your adrenalin may just kick in.

The financial news from Wall Street and Main Street has been so alarming since last summer, Moneyizor has been changed from a magazine-type portal to become a vehicle for this crucial topic.

“On the day when the UK’s biggest mortgage lender, the Halifax, reported a staggering 2.5pc drop in house prices in March alone, the IMF warns governments, central banks and regulators that they now face a test of their mettle unique in modern times.”

Make sure you keep up to date on Credit Crunch technicalities with Moneyizor.

For those who don’t know, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are chartered finanicial institutions that guarantee 60 percent of the U.S. home loan market. Both are in serious trouble because of the meltdown in the housing market.

The U.S. Federal Reserve Bank

They dominate the top-tier of lenders that control $6 trillion of mortgage lending. A collapse would trigger an unprecedented crisis across the world’s largest economy and swift knock-on effects around the globe.

The Fed is pulling every lever available to it to neutralize the toxic effects of the subprime disaster. It’s predicted to lower rates by another 75 basis points within days, and is now offering Treasury bonds in exchange for mortgage debt. By soaking up some of the poison, the central bank hopes to take the sting out of the troubled banking crisis.

Like the British mortgage bank, Northern Rock, Freddie and Fannie may have to be nationalized to shore up the economy.

Bernard Connolly, Global Strategist at Banque AIG, believes Fed action won’t solve the problem of eroded of bank capital. “There is the risk of a very damaging credit contraction. We face the most serious global crisis since the Great Depression. But this time at least the North American central banks are doing their best to stop it spreading to the real economy. We should be thankful that we have people in charge who appreciate the gravity of the situation.”