The United States’ Federal Reserve has intervened dramatically to cut base rates by a huge 75 basis points or 0.75 percent, indicating that it regards recession as more likely than not. This is the single biggest cut by the Fed in 20 years.

The markets are less than impressed, however, regarding it as a panic measure. The White House has also weighed in with the President saying he is considering an even bigger fiscal stimulus than the recently announced $150billion.

America means business.

Syntagma has an in-depth analysis of the upcoming recession. Here’s a taster :

As we’ve been saying here in Syntagma for some months, a long, deep worldwide recession now looks more likely than not. Opinions are hardening among key players, principally in America and Britain.

Yesterday, the Wall Street Journal proclaimed : “U.S. warning signs point toward deep recession”.

Now even the insurance companies, or Monolines, that underwrite possible defaults, are also in trouble, with two of the biggest in the U.S. said to be close to Chapter 11 status (a form of bankruptcy protection against creditors).

The US has entered its first major economic recession for 16 years, according to investment bank Merrill Lynch.

Merrill is the first of the big banks to declare that a recession in the world’s biggest economy is already underway. David Rosenberg, the bank’s chief North American economist, claims that the weakening employment scene and declining retail sales show that the economy has tipped into its first month of recession. [A recession is defined as two successive months of negative growth].

Rosenberg says,”According to our analysis, this isn’t even a forecast any more but is a present day reality”.

For an analysis of the coming recession on both sides of the Atlantic see John Evans’s article in Syntagma.

He writes, “All banks are now hoarding cash like Ebeneezer Scrooge on a bad day and virtually ceasing to lend. With house price indices slithering down a slope like novice ice skaters, and inter-bank rates running at around 8 percent, this has become a total banking crisis worldwide, and that has the potential for real evil in our economies.”

Read the article here.